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Practical Design of Generalized Likelihood Ratio Control Charts for Autocorrelated Data

机译:自相关数据的广义似然比控制图的实用设计

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摘要

Control charts based on generalized likelihood ratio (GLR) tests are attractive from both theoretical and practical points of view. In particular, in the case of an autocorrelated process, the GLR test uses the information contained in the time-varying response after a change and, as shown by Apley and Shi, is able to outperfom traditional control charts applied to residuals. In addition, a GLR chart provides estimates of the magnitude and the time of occurrence of the change. In this article we present a practical approach to implementating GLR charts for monitoring an autoregressive moving average process assuming that only a phase I sample is available. The proposed approach, based on automatic time series identification, estimates the GLR control limits through stochastic approximation using bootstrap resampling and thus is able to take into account the uncertainty about the underlying model. A Monte Carlo study shows that\udour methodology can be used to design, in a semiautomatic fashion, a GLR chart with a prescribed rate of false alarms when as few as 50 phase I observations are available. A real example is used to illustrate the\uddesigning procedure.
机译:从理论和实践的角度来看,基于广义似然比(GLR)测试的控制图都具有吸引力。特别地,在自相关过程中,GLR测试使用更改后随时间变化的响应中包含的信息,并且如Apley和Shi所示,其性能优于应用于残差的传统控制图。另外,GLR图表提供了变化的大小和发生时间的估计。在本文中,我们假设只提供I期样本,提供了一种实现GLR图表以监视自回归移动平均过程的实用方法。所提出的方法基于自动时间序列识别,使用引导重采样通过随机逼近来估计GLR控制极限,因此能够考虑有关基础模型的不确定性。蒙特卡洛的一项研究表明,\\气味方法可用于以半自动的方式设计GLR图表,该图表具有规定的错误警报率(当I阶段观测值最少为50时)。一个真实的例子用来说明\ uddesign设计过程。

著录项

  • 作者

    CAPIZZI G.; MASAROTTO G;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 2008
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
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